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我国近期保值贴补率走势的数学模型
引用本文:涂诗甲,胡启旭.我国近期保值贴补率走势的数学模型[J].武汉工业学院学报,1995(3).
作者姓名:涂诗甲  胡启旭
摘    要:本文通过对中国人民银行公布的自1994年6月至1995年2月三年期以上定期储蓄存款保值贴补率进行研究,推导出其走势的数学模型为:Z_t=Z_(t-1)+Z_(t-1)+X-0.3294x_(t-1)-0.2075x_(t-2)+0.0529x_(t-3)+a_t并用此模型对1995年3月份的保值贴补率进行预测.得到预测精度为95%的结果。

关 键 词:保值贴补率,差分,平衡序列

THE RECENT MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE TREND OF THE VALUE-KEEPING SUBSIDIZING RATE IN OUR COUNTRY
Tu Shijia,Hu Qixu.THE RECENT MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF THE TREND OF THE VALUE-KEEPING SUBSIDIZING RATE IN OUR COUNTRY[J].Journal of Wuhan Polytechnic University,1995(3).
Authors:Tu Shijia  Hu Qixu
Affiliation:Basic course Depaitment
Abstract:ased on the studies of the Value-keeping subsidizing rate of the fixed deposits for over three years from June, 1994 to February,1995 issued by the People's Bank of China, this article infers that the mathematical model of the trend is as follows:Zt=Zt-1 Zt-1 X-0. 3294xt-1-0.2075xt-2 0.0529xt-3 at. We also use this model to predict the value-keeping subsidzing rate of March. 1995. the accuracy of which is 95%.
Keywords:value-keeping subsidizing rate difference stationary aeries
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