| 塔里木盆地H水驱砂岩油藏长期与短期产量预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 王陶,肖天君,李洪,刘俊峰,张亮.塔里木盆地H水驱砂岩油藏长期与短期产量预测方法[J].特种油气藏,2011,18(2):62-65,138. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王陶 肖天君 李洪 刘俊峰 张亮 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 中国石油大学,北京,102249;中油塔里木油田公司,新疆库尔勒,841000
2. 中油塔里木油田公司,新疆库尔勒,841000 |
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| 基金项目： | 中国石油塔里木油田公司科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 塔里木盆地某沙漠油田的H油藏为超深、超薄水驱砂岩油藏,目前处于中含水期,平面含水分布差异较大。应用多种水驱曲线法预测产量结果相差较大,因此提出应用不受含水阶段限制的"HCZ+Logistic增长曲线组合法"进行油藏长期产量预测及采收率预测。应用实例表明,"HCZ+Logistic增长曲线组合法"预测结果与实际生产动态吻合度较高,与阿普斯(Arps)指数递减法预测短期产量的相对误差较小。该方法可作为筛选水驱曲线的重要参考,对完善、补充开发初期方案,做好近期生产调整与长期油气生产规划具有重要指导意义。
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| 关 键 词： | H水驱油藏 产量预测 HCZ+Logistic增长曲线 指数递减 水驱曲线 塔里木盆地 |
Long and short term production forecast method of the H water drive sandstone reservoir in the Tarim Basin |
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| WANG Tao,XIA Tian-jun,LI Hong,LIU Jun-feng,ZHANG Liang.Long and short term production forecast method of the H water drive sandstone reservoir in the Tarim Basin[J].Special Oil & Gas Reservoirs,2011,18(2):62-65,138. |
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| Authors: | WANG Tao XIA Tian-jun LI Hong LIU Jun-feng ZHANG Liang |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Tao,XIA0 Tian-jun,LI Hong,LIU Jun-feng,ZHANG Liang |
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| Abstract: | The H oil reservoir in a desert oil field of the Tarim Basin is an ultra deep and thin sandstone reservoir developed by water drive.The reservoir is now at moderate water cut stage.The plane distribution of water cut is very different.Oil production forecasted by various water drive curve methods differs a lot.Therefore it is suggested to forecast long term production and recovery factor by the HCZ+Logistic growth curve combinatorial method which is not restricted to water cut stages.Examples show that the ... |
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| Keywords: | H water drive reservoir production forecast HCZ Logistic growth curve exponential decline water drive curve Tarim Basin |
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