| 水文气象预报误差原因分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 刘志武,刘帆,杜雄春. 水文气象预报误差原因分析[J]. 大坝观测与土工测试, 2012, 0(1): 71-73 |
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| 作者姓名： | 刘志武 刘帆 杜雄春 |
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| 作者单位： | 长江电力股份有限公司,湖北省宜昌市443002 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对水文气象预报对水库运行调度的重要性,介绍了预报技术的现状,初步分析了气象预报误差、水文预报误差产生的客观原因,以及预报误差的非技术原因。提出了相应的建议和对策,以便正确认识、理性对待预报工作并合理应用预报成果。
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| 关 键 词： | 水文气象 预报误差 误差分析 |
Error Source of Hydro-meteorological Forecast |
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| LIU Zhiwu,LIU Fan,DU Xiongchun. Error Source of Hydro-meteorological Forecast[J]. Dam Observation and Geotechnical Tests, 2012, 0(1): 71-73 |
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| Authors: | LIU Zhiwu LIU Fan DU Xiongchun |
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| Affiliation: | (China Yangtze Power Co. Ltd., Yichang 443002, China) |
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| Abstract: | Hydro-meteorological forecast is important for reservoir operating and dispatching. According to it, the present situation of hydro-meteorological forecast is introduced. Objective sources producing error of weather forecast and hydrologic forecast are analyzed. The non-technical reasons of forecast error are also presented. And some suggestions and policies are developed, so it is in favor of users to correctly understand and reasonably treat and apply the forecast results. |
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| Keywords: | hydro meteorology forecast error error analysis |
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