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基于数据驱动的用户用能行为分析方法
引用本文:李江峡,马艳,古海生,伍先艳,田斌,柴涛.基于数据驱动的用户用能行为分析方法[J].陕西电力,2020,0(9):63-68.
作者姓名:李江峡  马艳  古海生  伍先艳  田斌  柴涛
作者单位:1. 三峡大学 水电站运行与控制湖北省重点实验室,湖北 宜昌 443002; 2. 武汉交通职业学院,湖北 武汉 430000;3.国网安徽省合肥市供电公司,安徽 合肥 230000;4.国网湖北省恩施供电公司,湖北 恩施 445000
摘    要:随着综合能源系统的快速发展,为了满足综合能源系统联合规划的需要,亟需对综合能源系统中用户用能行为进行分析建模。基于数据驱动思想,引入了深度学习方法,提出了一种用于用户用能行为分析的方法。首先,对影响用户用能行为的数据类型、结构进行分析;然后,引入Seq2Seq技术,以GRU为神经元构建深度学习模型;最后,通过算例对所提方法的有效性进行验证。算例研究表明:所提的方法能够以海量历史数据为基础,准确预测出用户的用能行为情况。

关 键 词:用户用能行为分析  数据驱动  深度学习  Seq2Seq技术  GRU

Analysis Method of Data-driven Energy Use Behavior of Users
LI Jiangxia,MA Yan,GU Haisheng,WU Xianyan,TIAN Bin,CHAI Tao.Analysis Method of Data-driven Energy Use Behavior of Users[J].Shanxi Electric Power,2020,0(9):63-68.
Authors:LI Jiangxia  MA Yan  GU Haisheng  WU Xianyan  TIAN Bin  CHAI Tao
Affiliation:1. Hubei Provincial Key Laboratory for Operation and Control of Cascaded Hydropower Station,China Three Gorges University,Yichang 443002,China; 2. Wuhan Technical College of Communications,Wuhan 430000,China; 3. State Grid Anhui Hefei Power Supply Company,Hefei 230000,China; 4. State Grid Hubei Enshi Power Supply Company,Enshi 445000,China
Abstract:With the rapid development of integrated energy system,it is urgent to analyze and model the energy use behavior of users in order to meet the needs of integrated energy system joint planning. Based on the idea of data-driven,deep learning method is introduced, and analysis method for energy use behavior of users is proposed. Firstly,the data types and structures that affect energy use behavior of users are analyzed. Then, Seq2Seq technology is introduced to construct a deep learning model with GRU as the neuron. Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by an example. The example shows that the proposed method can accurately predict the energy use behavior of users based on massive historical data.
Keywords:energy use behavior of users  data-driven  deep learning  Seq2Seq technology  GRU
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