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基于组合函数法的灰色模型预测研究及应用
引用本文:陈霞,邱桃荣,徐俊,蔡洪.基于组合函数法的灰色模型预测研究及应用[J].计算机应用与软件,2008,25(12).
作者姓名:陈霞  邱桃荣  徐俊  蔡洪
作者单位:1. 南昌大学信息工程学院计算机系,江西,南昌,330031
2. 深圳高科技有限公司信息部开发系,广东,深圳,518114
摘    要:结合运用组合函数法,尤其是对数函数和幂函数在进行原始数据列转换后能提高数据列的光滑度和预测精度的优点,提出了基于组合函数法的灰色预测模型,利用此模型实例预测某油田的年产量,并利用相对误差法将预测值与实际值进行精度检验,取得了较好的结果。

关 键 词:灰色系统理论  灰色预测  灰色模型  组合函数法

ON GREY MODEL PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION BASED ON COMPOSITE FUNCTION METHOD
Chen Xia,Qiu Taorong,Xu Jun,Cai Hong.ON GREY MODEL PREDICTION AND ITS APPLICATION BASED ON COMPOSITE FUNCTION METHOD[J].Computer Applications and Software,2008,25(12).
Authors:Chen Xia  Qiu Taorong  Xu Jun  Cai Hong
Affiliation:Chen Xia1 Qiu Taorong1 Xu Jun1 Cai Hong21(School of Information Technology Engineering,Nanchang University,Nanchang 330031,Jiangxi,China)2(Development Faculty,Information Department of Shenzhen High-tech Co.Ltd,Shenzhen 518114,Guangdong,China)
Abstract:According to the use of composite function method,especially the logarithmic function and power function,the smoothness and precision degree of column data format are improved by transforming the original data.In this paper,a Grey Model based on composite function method is proposed in combination with that merit and the Model is taken to predict the annual output of a certain oil field.By relative error method,the predicted values are compared with the actual ones for accuracy test.The results show that th...
Keywords:Grey system theory Grey prediction Grey model Composite function method  
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