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我国毕业研究生增长趋势模型构建与拟合推测
引用本文:丁凡,曲爽.我国毕业研究生增长趋势模型构建与拟合推测[J].建材高教理论与实践,2010(1):82-84.
作者姓名:丁凡  曲爽
作者单位:武警警种指挥学院,北京102202
摘    要:统计1998-2008年我国毕业研究生人数数据,构建增长趋势数学模型,对数据进行拟合,以SSE,RSE,MAD,ARE判断拟合准确度。拟合结果提示目前毕业研究生人数增长过快,未来五年我国研究生毕业人数可能呈现平稳增长态势。

关 键 词:毕业研究生人数  数学模型  模型拟合  推测

Construction of the Mathematical Model of Postgraduates Growth in China and Its Trend Fitting and Presuming
DING Fan,QU Shuang.Construction of the Mathematical Model of Postgraduates Growth in China and Its Trend Fitting and Presuming[J].Theory and Practice of Higher Education in Building Material Science,2010(1):82-84.
Authors:DING Fan  QU Shuang
Affiliation:(The Chinese Armed Police Force Classification Command College,Beijing 102202)
Abstract:The paper constructs a mathematical model to fit the number of the graduated postgraduate during 1998 to 2008.SSE,RSE,MAD,and ARE are used to judge the accuracy of fit.The results suggests the current growth in the number of graduates is too speedy.The model forecasts a steady growth in the number of postgraduates in the following 5 years in China.
Keywords:the number of postgraduate  mathematical model  model fit  presume
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