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Formal safety assessment based on relative risks model in ship navigation
Authors:Shenping Hu  Quangen Fang  Haibo Xia  Yongtao Xi  
Affiliation:aMerchant Marine College, Shanghai Maritime University, 1550, Pudong Dadao, Shanghai 200135, PR China
Abstract:Formal safety assessment (FSA) is a structured and systematic methodology aiming at enhancing maritime safety. It has been gradually and broadly used in the shipping industry nowadays around the world. On the basis of analysis and conclusion of FSA approach, this paper discusses quantitative risk assessment and generic risk model in FSA, especially frequency and severity criteria in ship navigation. Then it puts forward a new model based on relative risk assessment (MRRA). The model presents a risk-assessment approach based on fuzzy functions and takes five factors into account, including detailed information about accident characteristics. It has already been used for the assessment of pilotage safety in Shanghai harbor, China. Consequently, it can be proved that MRRA is a useful method to solve the problems in the risk assessment of ship navigation safety in practice.
Keywords:Risk assessment  Marine engineering  Probability  Formal safety assessment (FSA)  Fuzzy sets
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