| 分时电价下供电公司盈亏风险分析模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 赵娟,谭忠富,李晓军.分时电价下供电公司盈亏风险分析模型[J].电力需求侧管理,2005,7(1):9-11. |
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| 作者姓名： | 赵娟 谭忠富 李晓军 |
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| 作者单位： | 华北电力大学,电力经济研究所,北京,102206;华北电力大学,电力经济研究所,北京,102206;华北电力大学,电力经济研究所,北京,102206 |
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| 摘 要： | 面临缺电的局面．分时电价成为电力需求侧管理的重要手段之一。执行分时电价可能会给供电公司带来电费收入风险，采用回归分析方法对造成供电公司执行分电价盈亏的原因进行了分析，提出在进行峰谷电价调整时采用回归分析的方法测算出对供电公司盈亏影响最多的重点企业，以期更合理地调整分时电价，规避供电公司的电费收入风险，从而达到供电公司和用户的双赢。
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| 关 键 词： | 分时电价 电费 风险 回归分析 |
| 文章编号： | 1009-1831(2005)01-0009-03 |
Risk analysis model of supplying power company under TOU price |
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| ZHAO Juan,TAN Zhong-fu,LI Xiao-jun.Risk analysis model of supplying power company under TOU price[J].Power Demand Side Management,2005,7(1):9-11. |
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| Authors: | ZHAO Juan TAN Zhong-fu LI Xiao-jun |
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| Abstract: | Facing the situation of the shortage of power supply,TOU price is becoming one of the important DSM measurements. Implementing TOU price brings extra risk to supply power companies. Regression analysis method is used in this article to find the reason which results in the payoff or loss. In order to adjust TOU price, evade the income risk of supplying power companies and obtain the companies and customers' profits at the same time, regression analysis method should be used to calculate the key companies in adjusting TOU price. |
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| Keywords: | TOU power price tariff risk regression analysis |
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