| 门楼水库时段降水序列展延模型的选择 |
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| 引用本文： | 贠汝安,曹升乐. 门楼水库时段降水序列展延模型的选择[J]. 山东大学学报(工学版), 2004, 34(3): 96-100 |
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| 作者姓名： | 贠汝安 曹升乐 |
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| 作者单位： | 山东大学,土建与水利学院,山东,济南,250061 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对动态汛限水位应用时存在的问题 ,结合门楼水库动态汛限水位过程线的研究 ,对季节性自回归模型、相关解集模型、正则展开模型、多变量序列模拟的正交变换法和多变量AR(1)模型五个常用多变量生成模型进行了分析试验 ,通过对比研究 ,指出多变量AR(1)模型最适合时段降水序列的展延
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| 关 键 词： | 降水序列 展延 随机模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1672-3961(2004)03-0096-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2003-09-03 |
The model selection of extending precipitation series for Men-lou Reservoir |
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| YUN Ru-an,CAO Sheng-le. The model selection of extending precipitation series for Men-lou Reservoir[J]. Journal of Shandong University of Technology, 2004, 34(3): 96-100 |
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| Authors: | YUN Ru-an CAO Sheng-le |
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| Abstract: | To find a suitable model to simulate precipitation series, five stochastic models-seasonal autoregressive model, correlation disaggregation model, canonical expansion model, multivariate orthogonal transformation technique, multivariate AR(1) model-are discussed. The result that the best model for extending precipitation series simulation is multivariate AR(1) model is obtained by comparing the models. |
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| Keywords: | precipitation series extension stochastic model |
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