居民月人均可支配收入的波动对生活费支出的影响

利用协整理论对1983～2011年间吉林省城镇居民人均可支配收入和人均生活费支出的月度数据进行了实证分析,通过协整检验得出两者间存在协整关系,并建立了相应的误差修正模型,得出吉林省城镇居民月人均可支配收入的波动幅度对生活费支出波动幅度有显著影响,且为正向关系,因此增加居民可支配收入可以拉动城镇居民消费需求.

The Influence on the Spending of the Living Expenses by the Fluctuation of Residents Month Per Capita Disposable Income

In this paper, co-integration theory is adopted to do empirical analysis with the month data of per capita disposable income and per capita consumption,which are from the urban resident in Jilin ranging from 1983 to 2011. Then the co-integration relationship between them by the co-integration test is obtained. Corresponding error correction model is set up, and the result shows that the fluctuation of per capita disposable income monthly of Jilin urban residents has a significant effect on the fluctuations of living expenses. There is a positive relationship between them. Thus increasing the disposable income of residents can meet urban residents＇consumption demand.