经济增长、外商直接投资与环境 污染关系研究——基于2003—2012年省级面板实证分析

依据2003—2012年省级面板数据，运用面板分析方法对30个省（区、市）的经济增长、外商直接投资和环境污染之间的关系进行实证分析。研究表明，经济增长、外商直接投资和环境污染之间存在着长期协整关系，中国存在N形的EKC曲线，随着经济发展，环境会经历恶化、改善和最终依然恶化的过程；外商直接投资提高了我国的废水处理能力，但是总体来说还是使我国环境进一步恶化；产业结构分析发现偏重第二产业的经济结构会对环境产生负面影响。建议政府转变治污思路，提高外资引入的质量和标准，引导产业结构转变，大力发展第三产业，促进清洁能源和循环经济的发展，改变经济增长方式。

RELATION AMONG ECONOMIC GROWTH,FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT AND ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION BASED ON PROVINCIAL PANEL 2003—2012

This paper, based on provincial panel data 2003—2012, analyzes the relation among economic growth, foreign direct investment and environmental pollution with result showing a long term cointegration, “N” shaped EKC curve in China. As economy develops, environment will undergo deterioration, improvement and eventually deterioration. The foreign direct investment improves Chinas capacity in treating waste water, but in general deteriorates Chinas environment. Preference on the second industry will impact environment. This paper suggests governments changing ideas in treating pollution, increasing the quality and standard of foreign investment, transforming industrial structure and developing the third industry with strength, enhancing clean energy and circular economy, and changing economic growth means.