甘肃省人口、经济、社会协调发展状态研究

以甘肃省第6期人口普查数据以及统计年鉴中的人口与社会经济数据为基础，运用经典场强理论对甘肃省人口与社会经济的关系进行研究，并在ArcGIS 93的支持下对甘肃省市域人口与社会经济关系进行可视化处理，同时运用主成分分析法及回归分析法对人口、经济及社会子系统协调发展状态进行评价。研究表明，人口和经济场效应强的地区叠加后的综合影响效应还是很强，人口和经济场效应弱的地区叠加后的综合影响效应还是很弱；1980—2000年甘肃省人口、经济和社会子系统之间基本保持在协调状态不变，从2000年开始转为基本协调，2010年则变为濒临不协调发展状态；金昌、白银、平凉、陇南、临夏、甘南地区人口、经济和社会子系统之间处于协调发展状态，甘肃其他地区则处于基本协调发展状态。

COORDINATED DEVELOPMENT STATUS OF POPULATION,ECONOMY AND SOCIETY IN GANSU PROVINCE

Based on the 6th census and social & economic data, this paper applies classic field theory to study the relation between Gansus population, society and economy, which is visualized through ArcGIS 93, and uses the principal component analysis and regression analysis to evaluate the coordinated development status of population, society and economy. Population and economy fields strong in field effect are still strong in their comprehensive effect if overlapped, vice versa. From 1980—2000, Gansus population, economy and society were in coordination, turned to basic coordination since 2000, and changed to critical in 2010. Jinchang, Baiyin, Pingliang, Longnan, Linxia, and Gannan are in coordination, while other areas are in basic coordination.