中国电源结构的进一步探讨

中国电源结构长期煤电占极大比重，对此国内外专家看法不一。阐述了中国没有完成能源的几次大转换是导致中国以煤电为主的根本原因。2002年部分发达国家的电源结构表明，部分发达国家的煤炭主要用于发电，煤电在电源结构中的比重大大超过了煤炭在一次能源消费量中的比重。美国、欧洲、俄罗斯2005～2020年电力发展趋势的分析表明．在无温室气体减排规定的情况下，煤电的比重都呈上升趋势。国际能源署和国内专家的预测认为，中国未来的电源结构仍将以煤电为主。鉴于此，中国目前以煤电为主的电源结构是合理的。

Discussion Further on China's Electricity Energy Formation

Coal electricity has long accounted for a great share in China＇s electricity energy formation,about which experts home and abroad have different opinions.The fact that China failed to complete the several times of major energy transformation has led to the dominant proportion of coal electricity in its electricity energy formation.The electricity energy formation of some developed countries in 2002 shows that coal was chiefly used to produce power,the proportion of coal electricity in electricity energy formation well exceeded that of coal in primary energy consumption.The analysis of electricity industry development trends from 2005 to 2020 in America,Europe and Russia indicates that the proportion of coal electricity for these countries or area will rise on condition of the absence of GHG（green house gas） reduction regulation.The forecast of International Energy Agency and Chinese experts points out that coal electricity will still dominate in China＇s future electricity energy formation.In view of this,China＇s electricity energy formation that takes coal electricity as the primary electricity energy so far is rational.