| 改进的灰色预测模型及其在土坝沉降量预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 纪燕新,熊艺媛,麻荣永. 改进的灰色预测模型及其在土坝沉降量预测中的应用[J]. 红水河, 2006, 25(4): 132-135 |
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| 作者姓名： | 纪燕新 熊艺媛 麻荣永 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西大学土木建筑工程学院,南宁,530004 |
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| 基金项目： | 广西研究生教育创新计划 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章将灰色预测模型与马尔可夫链预测相结合，提出了改进的灰色-马尔可夫链模型预测方法。用该法对广西百色澄碧河水库心墙土坝沉降量进行了预测，并与灰色模型预测结果相比较，验证了该方法的可行性和优越性。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 马尔可夫链方法 改进模型 土坝沉降量 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-408X（2006）04-0132-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-03-29 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-03-29 |
Application of the Improved Grey Prediction Model to the Prediction of Earth Dam Settlement |
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| JI Yan-xin,XIONG Yi-yuan,MA Rong-yong. Application of the Improved Grey Prediction Model to the Prediction of Earth Dam Settlement[J]. Hongshui River, 2006, 25(4): 132-135 |
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| Authors: | JI Yan-xin XIONG Yi-yuan MA Rong-yong |
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| Affiliation: | College of Civil and Architecture Engineering, Guanxi University, Nanning, 530004 |
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| Abstract: | By combining the grey prediction model with A. A. Mapkob, an improved model prediction method of the grey-A. A. Mapkob is put forward, whose feasibility and superiority are verified by applying it to predict the earth dam settlement for Chenbihe reservoir in Guangxi and by making a comparison of its prediction result with that of the grey prediction model. |
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| Keywords: | Grey Prediction Model A.A. Mapkob method improved model earth dam settlement |
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