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基于思贤滘实测流量的西北江下游二次校正流量预报模型
引用本文:杨帆,黄勇强,江少英.基于思贤滘实测流量的西北江下游二次校正流量预报模型[J].广东水利水电,2014(8).
作者姓名:杨帆  黄勇强  江少英
作者单位:广东省水文局佛山水文分局,广东佛山,528000,广东省水文局佛山水文测报中心,广东佛山,528000,广东省水文局佛山水文分局,广东佛山,528000
摘    要:利用马氏时变参数法建立珠江流域西北江下游流量过程演算模型,将思贤滘岗根水文站在线实测流量成果应用于实时校正中。经过3个阶段的演算,对马口水文站和三水水文站进行2次实时校正洪水流量预报。经实例验证效果较好。

关 键 词:思贤滘  实测流量  西北江  实时校正  流量预报

The secondary correction prediction model of the west and the north river downstream based on the Sixianjiao station's measured flow
YANG Fan,HUANG Yongqiang and JIANG Shaoying.The secondary correction prediction model of the west and the north river downstream based on the Sixianjiao station's measured flow[J].Guangdong Water Resources and Hydropower,2014(8).
Authors:YANG Fan  HUANG Yongqiang and JIANG Shaoying
Affiliation:Foshan Branch of Guangdong Hydrology Bureau,Foshan 528000,China,Foshan hydrological telemetry center of Guangdong hydrology bureau ,Foshan 528000,China and Foshan Branch of Guangdong Hydrology Bureau,Foshan 528000,China
Abstract:The west and the north river downstream flow process calculation model was established based on the Markov time -varying parameter method .The online measured flow results of the Ganggen hydrological station was used for the model ''s real-time correc-tion.After three stages of calculus , the model was used to forecast the secondary real-time correction flood flow of the Makou and Sanshui hydrological station .The model was verified by examples .
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