| 一种城市污水量综合模型预测方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 何国富,张善发,陈银川,徐连军,王凡,彭海琴. 一种城市污水量综合模型预测方法[J]. 中国市政工程, 2012, 0(2): 44-47,100 |
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| 作者姓名： | 何国富 张善发 陈银川 徐连军 王凡 彭海琴 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 华东师范大学资源与环境科学学院,上海,200240
2. 上海市城市建设设计研究总院,上海,200125 |
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| 基金项目： | 水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项子课题(2009Zx07318-004-04) |
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| 摘 要： | 城市污水量的准确预测,在管网设计、优化和运行管理中的作用非常重要。总结了针对生活污水和工业废水的现有各种预测模型的优缺点、使用范围和预测精度,介绍了选取合理、简便、适应性广的几种组合预测方法,以上海市污水排放量预测为例,还预测了未来关键年份的污水排放总量。最后提出了4种预测方法,并作了对比。
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| 关 键 词： | 城市污水量 预测方法 组合预测 计算机辅助规划 |
A Comprehensive Model Prediction Method for Urban Sewerage Discharge |
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| HE Guo-fu,ZHANG Shan-fa,CHEN Yin-chuan,XU Lian-jun,WANG Fan,PENG Hai-qin. A Comprehensive Model Prediction Method for Urban Sewerage Discharge[J]. China Municipal Engineering, 2012, 0(2): 44-47,100 |
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| Authors: | HE Guo-fu ZHANG Shan-fa CHEN Yin-chuan XU Lian-jun WANG Fan PENG Hai-qin |
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| Affiliation: | 1(1.School of Resources & Environmental Science,East China Normal University,Shanghai 200240,China;2.Shanghai Urban Construction Design & Research Institute,Shanghai 200125,China) |
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| Abstract: | It is important to accurate prediction of urban sewage discharge in pipe network design,optimization and operation & management.This paper summarizes the advantages,disadvantages,application range and forecast accuracy of the existing prediction models of domestic sewage and industrial sewage and selects some reasonable,simple and wide adaptability methods in order to get an accurate combined forecasting.Taking Shanghai sewage discharge forecasting for example,the total sewage discharge of future key year is forecasted as well.Finally,four forecast methods are proposed with a comparison of them. |
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| Keywords: | urban sewerage discharge forecast methods combined forecasting computer-aided planning |
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