| 燃气负荷组合预测中贝叶斯权重法的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈贝,臧子璇.燃气负荷组合预测中贝叶斯权重法的应用[J].平顶山工学院学报,2010(6). |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈贝 臧子璇 |
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| 作者单位： | 重庆大学城市建设与环境工程学院; |
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| 摘 要： | 将贝叶斯概率理论引入组合预测模型中,建立了基于GM(1,1)和偏最小二乘回归模型的燃气负荷动态权重组合预测模型。通过对某市的实例分析,结果表明,此方法有效地提高了预测精度。
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| 关 键 词： | 贝叶斯 GM(1 1) 偏最小二乘 组合预测 权重 |
Gas load combination forecast method of Bayesian weight |
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| CHEN Bei,ZANG Zi-xuan.Gas load combination forecast method of Bayesian weight[J].Journal of Pingdingshan Institute of Technology,2010(6). |
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| Authors: | CHEN Bei ZANG Zi-xuan |
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| Affiliation: | CHEN Bei,ZANG Zi-xuan(Faculty of Urban Construction , Environmental Engineering,Chongqing University,Chongqing 400045,China) |
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| Abstract: | In this passage,the Bayesian probability theory is introduced in combination forecast model,which is a based on the GM(1,1) and partial least-square regression model of gas load dynamic weighting combination forecast model.The analysis results show that this method can effectively improve the accuracy of the predictions. |
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| Keywords: | Bayesian GM(1 1) partial least squares combination forecast weight |
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