基于平台协同的反舰导弹突防概率模型

为计算在平台协同条件下反舰导弹的突防概率,建立一种基于平台协同的反舰导弹突防概率模型。给出空间位置关系模型,对舰空导弹拦截系统进行建模,分析平台协同对反舰导弹入射强度的影响,提出衡量平台协同效果的评价模型,利用随机服务理论建立反舰导弹突防概率的计算模型,并通过实例进行仿真分析。结果表明:该模型能有效地体现反舰导弹平台协同时间差和入射强度对突防概念的影响,具有一定的理论意义和实践价值。

Model of Penetration Probability of Anti-Ship Missile Based on the Platform-Coordination

In order to calculate the penetration probability of anti-ship missile based on the platform-coordination, we established a penetration probability model of anti ship missile based on the platform-ollaborative. The spatial position relation was analyzed, the model was built for anti-missile defense system of warship, then we analysis the influence of the platform-coordination to the anti-ship missile＇s incident intensity, put forwards an evaluation model for the effect on the platform-coordination and get the model of the way to calculate the penetration probability of anti-ship missile depending on stochastic service system. The results show that the model can effectively reflect the effect of cooperative platform anti-ship missile time difference and the incident intensity to the penetration concept, also has a certain theoretical and practical significance.