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用灰色模型分行业对新建城镇进行货运需求预测
引用本文:江黎明,吴瑞麟.用灰色模型分行业对新建城镇进行货运需求预测[J].华中科技大学学报(城市科学版),2003,20(1):65-67.
作者姓名:江黎明  吴瑞麟
作者单位:华中科技大学,土木工程与力学学院,湖北,武汉,430074
摘    要:由于社会高速发展面出现了许多新建城镇,对这些区域进行货运需求预测时,以前常用的许多方法很难实施或者因精度不高而无法得到满意的预测值,因为缺乏基础资料,彩类比法又找不到合适的区域进行类比,所以尝试灰允模型分行业对新建城镇进行货运需求预测,彩此模型可望得到较满意的预测数据,节省了资料采集和数据处理的工作量。

关 键 词:灰色模型  城镇  货运预测  灰色系统  资料采集
文章编号:1000-5730(2003)01-0065-03
修稿时间:2002年12月4日

Forecasting the Demands of Freight in New-built Towns by Grey Model
JIANG Li ming,WU Rui lin.Forecasting the Demands of Freight in New-built Towns by Grey Model[J].Journal of Huazhong University of Science and Technology,2003,20(1):65-67.
Authors:JIANG Li ming  WU Rui lin
Affiliation:JIANG Li ming 1 WU Rui lin 1
Abstract:Along with the developing of our society, there are a lot of new built towns appeared in our country. When forecasting the demands of freight in these districts, the ways formaly used cannot obtain satisfactory datum for the difficulties of putting in practice or poor precision. Because of the shortage of datum, and it is difficult to find a suitable district to adopt the way of analogy, Grey Model is adopted to forecast the demands of freight in these new built towns of each industries. Using this model satisifactory forecasted figures can be obtained, and a great mount of work load of datum collecting is decreased.
Keywords:Grey Model(GM)  new  built towns  forecast of freight
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