我国液化石油气的供需现状及发展趋势

针对国内石化工业发展规划和燃气领域天然气快速发展的局面,预测未来十年国内LPG（液化石油气）在燃气领域的发展趋势。从市场需求、生产、供需平衡、价格等4方面,分析了国内LPG在燃气领域的现状,预测了LPG的未来走向。指出国内经济增长决定了能源的巨大需求,能源多元化和互补需求使LPG仍具有较大发展空间。我国地域广阔、人口众多及经济发展不平衡的特点决定了在民用燃气市场,LPG和天然气两种气源将长期并存、互为补充。未来天然气与LPG的价差会不断缩小,将有利于LPG参与市场竞争。

Demand and Supply of Domestic Liquefied Petroleum Gas and Its Development Trend

Based on the development planning of domestic petrochemical industry and the rapid development of natural gas in the gas field,the development trend of domestic LPG(Liquefied Petroleum Gas)in the next decade was forecasted.The current situation of LPG in the gas field was analyzed,the future development of LPG was forecasted in respect of market demand,production,supply and demand balance,and price.It is pointed out that domestic economic growth determined the huge demand for energy.Energy diversification and complementary demand would make LPG a greater space for development.The characteristics of vast territory,large population,and uneven economic development in China determine that LPG and natural gas will long co-exist and complement each other in the domestic gas market.The future price gap between natural gas and LPG will gradually narrow,which will be advantageous to LPG participating in the market competition.