| 黄金牛市风高浪涨--2005年黄金市场回顾及2006年展望 |
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| 引用本文： | 崔琳. 黄金牛市风高浪涨--2005年黄金市场回顾及2006年展望[J]. 稀有金属快报, 2006, 25(5): 13-17 |
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| 作者姓名： | 崔琳 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京安泰科信息开发有限公司,北京,100814 |
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| 摘 要： | 2005年,金价继续延续过去4年的上涨行情,并且在下半年加剧涨势,创下了24年来的新高.上半年,美元的持续贬值为金价的上涨提供了动力,而下半年,原油价格的高涨以及全球通货膨胀的显现,更是为金价的上涨提供了动力.金价在突破了500美元/盎司的阻力位之后,打开了一个新的上升空间.预计在能源价格高涨,全球利率上升以及通胀逐渐显露的时期,金价做为保值避险的工具,将得到更多投资者的追捧,价格很可能继续走高,并有望在未来几年内突破上一个高点800美元/盎司.2006年全球政治经济环境继续对金价有利,预计最高可能突破600美元/盎司,全年平均价大约在540美元/盎司左右.
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| 关 键 词： | 黄金市场 价格走势 供应与需求 汇率 |
| 文章编号： | 1008-5939(2006)05-013-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-04-17 |
Gold Price Soars: Review of Gold Market in 2005 and Forecast for 2006 |
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| Cui Lin. Gold Price Soars: Review of Gold Market in 2005 and Forecast for 2006[J]. Rare Metals Letters, 2006, 25(5): 13-17 |
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| Authors: | Cui Lin |
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| Abstract: | Gold price has run 4 years bull since it began to soar in 2001. In second half year of 2005,the price reached a 24-year high. Dollar's depreciation drove gold price in first half year,and the high oil price and global inflation is the main reason that gold price soared in second half year.After breaking 500 $/oz,gold price have entered into a new climbing room. The higher energy price,climbing world rate and global inflation will drive more investors to invest gold market. So we expect the price will continue to rise,and it is possible to reach historic high of 800 $/oz in future years. In 2006,we forecast the annual average price is 540 $/oz and the highest price will reach 600 $/oz. |
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| Keywords: | gold market price trend supply and demand exchange rate |
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