长江上游流域短期水文气象耦合预报技术研究 |
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引用本文: | 张雅琦. 长江上游流域短期水文气象耦合预报技术研究[J]. 湖北水力发电, 2016, 0(6). DOI: 10.13622/j.cnki.cn42-1800/tv.1671-3354.2016.06.001 |
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作者姓名: | 张雅琦 |
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作者单位: | 中国长江电力股份有限公司三峡水利枢纽梯级调度通信中心,湖北宜昌,443000 |
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摘 要: | 为延长水文预报有效预见期,提高预报精度,采用WRF模型降雨预报作为输入,建立针对长江上游的WRF定量降雨预报模型,利用2014年WRF模型对长江上游的预报结果,采用水文气象耦合的方式,研究输入资料在空间尺度变化的情况下对水文预报的影响。
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关 键 词: | WRF模型 耦合预报 预报分区 |
On the Short-term Hydrological and Meteorological Coupling Forecasting Techniques for Upper Yangtz River Basin |
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Abstract: | Hydrological and meteorological coupling prediction is an important mean to prolong the effective forecast pe-riod and improve the accuracy .A quantitative precipitation forecasting model is developed for the upper Yangtze River Basin , in which the WRF model is taken as the input and the hydrological and meteorological coupling scheme is adopt -ed.Based on the forecasting results of the WRF model for the upper Yangtze River Basin in 2014 , effects of the spatial scale change of the input data on the hydrological forecast are investigated . |
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Keywords: | WRF model coupling prediction forecast divisions |
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