| 考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链应用于防洪堤水平位移预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 陶俊波,黄淑芳,黄景新,邱飞. 考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链应用于防洪堤水平位移预测[J]. 红水河, 2007, 26(2): 33-36 |
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| 作者姓名： | 陶俊波 黄淑芳 黄景新 邱飞 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广西大学土木建筑工程学院,南宁,530004
2. 玉林市水利电力科学研究所,广西,玉林,53700 |
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| 摘 要： | 应用灰色系统理论和模糊数学的方法,建立了马尔可夫链式预测模型.利用某防洪堤观测资料,预测堤段变形.将灰色马尔科夫链和考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链所算预测值对比,说明考虑模糊区域的灰色马尔可夫链模型比一般的灰色马尔科夫链更加优越.
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| 关 键 词： | 模糊区域 灰色马尔可夫链 水平位移 预测 防洪堤 模糊区域 灰色马尔可夫链 应用 防洪堤 水平位移预测 Application Displacement Horizontal Embankment Flood Prediction Fuzzy Region Thinking 马尔可夫链模型 预测值 马尔科夫链 变形 观测资料 利用 预测模型 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-408X（2007）02-0033-04 |
| 收稿时间： | 2006-11-20 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-11-20 |
Application of Grey A.A. Mapkob Model at Thinking Fuzzy Region to Prediction of Flood Embankment Horizontal Displacement |
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| TAO Jun-bo,HUANG Shu-fang,HUANG Jing-xin,QIU Fei. Application of Grey A.A. Mapkob Model at Thinking Fuzzy Region to Prediction of Flood Embankment Horizontal Displacement[J]. Hongshui River, 2007, 26(2): 33-36 |
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| Authors: | TAO Jun-bo HUANG Shu-fang HUANG Jing-xin QIU Fei |
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| Affiliation: | 1. College of Civil and Architecture Engineering, Guangxi University, Nanning 530004; 2. Yulin Hydraulic Electric Power Reasearch Institute, Yulin Guangxi 537000 |
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| Abstract: | Grey system theory and fuzzy mathematics are employed to establish the A.A. Mapkob prediction model. The deformation is predicted by using the observation data of a flood embankment of a project. A comparison of predicted value between grey A.A. Mapkob and grey A.A. Mapkob model at thinking fuzzy region demonstrates that the latter is better than the former. |
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| Keywords: | fuzzy region grey A.A. Mapkob horizontal displacement prediction flood embankment |
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