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偏态分布模型在碾压混凝土坝体渗流分析中的应用
引用本文:詹美礼,金 袭,宋会彬,盛金昌,罗玉龙.偏态分布模型在碾压混凝土坝体渗流分析中的应用[J].水电能源科学,2012,30(8):53-55,73.
作者姓名:詹美礼  金 袭  宋会彬  盛金昌  罗玉龙
作者单位:河海大学水利水电学院,江苏南京,210098
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(51079039,51009053)
摘    要:在渗透稳定的可靠性分析中,确定渗透系数的概率分布非常必要。基于渗透系数概率分布构建了偏态分布模型,结合江垭碾压混凝土坝体的透水率试验数据及渗透系数和透水率的换算因子对渗透系数进行了随机性分析,并编制相应的FORTRAN程序,采用偏态分布概率密度函数拟合渗透系数的概率分布。结果表明,利用FORTRAN程序对渗透系数进行偏态分布拟合,能获得较理想的概率密度曲线;采用众数和综合标准差代替均值和均方差作为统计值,可使结果更合理、可靠。

关 键 词:碾压混凝土坝  渗透系数  偏态分布  概率密度曲线  众数  综合标准差

Application of Skewed Distribution Model in Seepage Characteristics of Roller Compacted Concrete Dam
ZHAN Meili,JIN Xi,SONG Huibin,SHENG Jinchang and LUO Yulong.Application of Skewed Distribution Model in Seepage Characteristics of Roller Compacted Concrete Dam[J].International Journal Hydroelectric Energy,2012,30(8):53-55,73.
Authors:ZHAN Meili  JIN Xi  SONG Huibin  SHENG Jinchang and LUO Yulong
Affiliation:College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China;College of Water Conservancy and Hydropower, Hohai University, Nanjing 210098, China
Abstract:The determination of permeability probability distribution is indispensable in reliability analysis of seepage stability. Based on the permeability probability distribution, a skewed model is proposed. Combining the experimental data of Jiangya roller compacted concrete dam (RCC) and the conversion factor between the permeability and the permeable rate, a randomness of the permeability is analyzed. In order to fit the permeability probability distribution, a probability density function of skewed distribution is presented. And a relevant FORTRAN program is developed. The results show that the probability density curves are ideal by using skewed distribution to fit permeability coefficient with FORTRAN program; instead of the mean and mean square deviation with the mode and comprehensive standard deviation as statistical values, the results may be more reasonable and reliable.
Keywords:roller compacted concrete dam  permeability  skewed distribution  probability density curve  mode  comprehensive standard deviation
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