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改进的相应涨差模型及其在洪水预报中的应用
引用本文:覃光华,丁晶,赵英林,肖亚林. 改进的相应涨差模型及其在洪水预报中的应用[J]. 武汉大学学报(工学版), 2002, 35(3): 20-23
作者姓名:覃光华  丁晶  赵英林  肖亚林
作者单位:1. 四川大学,四川,成都,610065
2. 武汉大学水利水电学院,湖北,武汉,430072
3. 四川达州水文水资源局,四川,达州,635000
基金项目:国家自然科学基金重大科研项目 (5 0 0 996 2 0 )
摘    要:根据圣维南方程组的连续方程 ,在原有相应涨差模型的基础上 ,推导出一种新的河道实时洪水预报相应涨差模型 .新模型的参数只有一个 ,使用具有时变遗忘因子的递推最小二乘算法在线识别 .在作业预报时 ,只需一个测站的资料 .该模型运用于长江中游河段 ,预报结果令人满意

关 键 词:涨差模型  洪水预报  最小二乘法
文章编号:1006-155X(2002)03-020-04
修稿时间:2001-03-21

Improved corresponding rising difference model and its application to real-time flood forecasting
QIN Guang_hua+,DING Jing+,ZHAO Ying_lin+,XIAO Ya_lin+. Improved corresponding rising difference model and its application to real-time flood forecasting[J]. Engineering Journal of Wuhan University, 2002, 35(3): 20-23
Authors:QIN Guang_hua+  DING Jing+  ZHAO Ying_lin+  XIAO Ya_lin+
Affiliation:QIN Guang_hua+1,DING Jing+1,ZHAO Ying_lin+2,XIAO Ya_lin+3
Abstract:According to continuity equation of Saint_Venant, and based on the old corresponding rising difference model, the paper developed a new model of channel flood realtime forecasting. It has only one parameter, which estimated by recursive least square estimation with variable forgetting factors. The new model needs data of only one survey station. The authors applied it to middle reaches of the Yangtze River, the results are satisfactory.
Keywords:rising difference model  flood forecasting  least square method
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