地缘政局危机看涨与供需基本面看跌共生国际油价续高新格局--2006年1季度国际石油市场述评及2季度展望

综述了在供应担忧与供应缓和共存、地缘政局危机看涨与供需基本面看跌共存、原油、汽油-取暖油交替领涨国际油价的新格局下，国际石油市场将在再现“淡季”不淡市场走势的基础之上促使2季度乃至全年的油价平均水平升至历史新高。

The New Setup of Continuously High Oil Price Jointly Caused by Rising Resulting from Geopolitical Crisis and Falling Resulting from Supply-Demand Balance

The article summarizes that, under the new setup of coexistence of supply worry and supply ease, coexistence of rising resulting from geopolitical crisis and falling resulting from supply-demand balance and crude oil, gasoline and heating oil alternately leading the rise of international oil price, on the basis of repeating market trend of ' not alack' in ' alack' season, international oil market will promote the average oil price level in second quarter and even for the whole year to set new historical record.