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不确定路网条件下出行路径选择模型对比分析
引用本文:王燕,张丽. 不确定路网条件下出行路径选择模型对比分析[J]. 西华大学学报(自然科学版), 2011, 30(2): 12-16,59
作者姓名:王燕  张丽
作者单位:西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院,四川成都,610031
摘    要:对出行路径选择模型作了简要解析,进而分别基于"期望效用理论"和"前景理论",建立不确定路网条件下的出行者出行路径选择模型,并结合实际算例及实证调查,对基于两种理论模型得出的结果做出对比分析,结果表明"前景理论"的研究思路更适合描述风险状况以及不确定条件下的个人出行决策行为.

关 键 词:路径选择  期望效用理论  前景理论  参考点

Comparison and Analysis of Route Choice Models under Uncertain Road Network Condition
WANG Yan,ZHANG Li. Comparison and Analysis of Route Choice Models under Uncertain Road Network Condition[J]. Journal of Xihua University(Natural Science Edition), 2011, 30(2): 12-16,59
Authors:WANG Yan  ZHANG Li
Affiliation:WANG Yan,ZHANG Li (School of Traffic Transportation and Logistics,Southwest Jiaotong University,Chengdu 610031 China)
Abstract:With the national transportation scholars' further researches on the travel route choice,theoretical models are developed based on expected utility theory and prospect theory respectively.In the paper,the authors firstly give a brief analysis about the route choice models,and then establish the travel route choice models under uncertainty based on the expected utility theory and prospect theory respectively.With practical examples and empirical investigation,comparative analysis about the results based on t...
Keywords:route choice  expected utility theory  prospect theory  reference point  
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