| 稠油蒸汽吞吐产量预报方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 程仲平 曲爱英. 稠油蒸汽吞吐产量预报方法[J]. 新疆石油地质, 1994, 15(1): 81-86 |
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| 作者姓名： | 程仲平 曲爱英 |
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| 作者单位： | 辽河油田勘探开发研究院 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对稠油藏在蒸汽吞吐开采时．其产量呈周期性变化的特点，建立了自适应混合回归模型，用来估计蒸汽吞吐稠油藏的最优参数，拟合、预报稠油蒸汽吞吐产量。应用该模型对辽河油田Ｄ６６等区块进行了拟合和预报．获得了个人满意的结果。该方法对稠油热采长远规划、年度计划及开发方案的编制具有重要的作用。
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| 关 键 词： | 稠油藏，产量预报，混合回归模型，趋势拟合，波动分析 |
METHOD OF FORECASTING PRODUCTION OF HEAVY OIL BY CYCLIC STEAM INJECTION PROCESS |
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| Cheng Zhongping, Qu Aiying,Lang Kuanjing. METHOD OF FORECASTING PRODUCTION OF HEAVY OIL BY CYCLIC STEAM INJECTION PROCESS[J]. Xinjiang Petroleum Geology, 1994, 15(1): 81-86 |
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| Authors: | Cheng Zhongping Qu Aiying Lang Kuanjing |
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| Abstract: | Based on the characteristics of cyclic yield changes in production of a heavy oil reservoir by cyclic steam injection process,a self-adapting mixed regression model has been developed.This model is used to estimate the optimum pa-rameters for heavy oil reservoir,fit and forecast yield by the process. Using it to fit and forecast the district D66 etc of Liaohe oil field,the satisfying results were obtained.The method possesses a guiding significance in drawing up a long-term plan of the heavy oil thermal recovery,annul plan and development program. |
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| Keywords: | Heavy oil reservoir yield forecasting Mixed regression mode Trend fitting Wave analysis. |
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