新型智能装甲作战系统体系贡献率评估研究

针对装备体系贡献率评估关联因素复杂、评估难度大的问题,剖析装备体系贡献率概念和内涵，提出装备体系贡献率评估研究框架。以新型智能装甲作战系统体系贡献率评估为研究对象，从体系功能完备、体系结构优化、作战能力提升、体系技术进步等多视角构建了立体多层的评估指标体系。采用基于信度规则库的证据推理方法，开展新型智能装甲作战系统体系贡献率评估研究。结果表明：体系贡献率是装备系统地位作用的综合性表征，宜从多视角、多层次开展综合研究；基于信度规则库的证据推理方法是一种有效、科学、实用的装备体系贡献率评估方法。

Research on Evaluation of Contribution Rate of a New Intelligent Armoured Combat System to Army Weapon System-of-systems

In allusion to the problem that contribution rate evaluation of weapon equipment system has highly complexity and great difficulty due to multitudinous relation factors, a research framework is proposed based on the systematic analysis of contribution rate conception. For the contribution rate evaluation of a new intelligent armoured combat system, an evaluation index system is established from the viewpoints of functional completeness, architecture optimization, operational capability enhancement and technological progress. The contribution rate evaluation of a new intelligent armoured combat system is systematically studied by using an evidential reasoning approach based on the belief rule base. The result shows that the contribution rate of weapon equipment system is a comprehensive characteristic parameter describing the position and function of weapon equipment system, its evaluation must be systematically studied from multiviewpoints and multilevels, and the evidential reasoning approach based on the belief rule base is an effective, scientific and practical method for solving the contribution rate evaluation of weapon equipment system.