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Flexibility dimensions to control the bullwhip effect in a supply chain
Authors:J. Pereira  K. Takahashi  L. Ahumada  F. Paredes
Affiliation:1. Escuela de Ingeniería Informática , Universidad Diego Portales , Chilejavier.pereira@udp.cl;3. Department of Artificial Complex Systems Engineering, Graduate School of Engineering , Hiroshima University , Japan;4. Escuela de Ingeniería Informática , Universidad Diego Portales , Chile;5. Escuela de Ingeniería Industrial , Universidad Diego Portales , Chile
Abstract:In this paper, we analyse the consequences of two flexibility dimensions proposed in a previous approach—adjustment capability and responsiveness—on the bullwhip effect in a supply-chain model when a stochastic AR(1) demand process is considered. First modelling the manager's belief on forecasting in pull, push and hybrid ordering methods, it is revealed that high adjustment capability induces a robust reduction of the bullwhip effect. Secondly, it is found that maximal responsiveness is not always a necessary management strategy. Indeed, we show that these dimensions may be organised in a trade-off, always keeping amplification to acceptable values in the whole supply chain.
Keywords:flexibility dimensions  bullwhip effect  manager's belief  forecasting process
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