服装流行色变化趋势及突变分析

为探析服装流行色的变化趋势及突变情况,基于中国纺织信息中心发布的2000—2019年春夏流行色定案,采用线性趋势分析、滑动平均法和Mann-Kendall检验,探讨了流行色系统的分布规律及其作用机制。结果表明:1)近20年来服装流行色呈非周期振荡现象,色相数据变化没有明显的总体上升或下降趋势,整体上是以暖色调为主、冷色为辅的春夏季节特色;2)服装流行色系统存在大量的不连续及突变现象,但不同色相的突变点数量具有显著差异;3)服装流行色系统并非是平稳渐变的,当内部和外部影响因素满足一定条件时,会发生色彩突变现象。该研究为认识服装流行色突变规律提供了理论支撑。

Changing trend and abrupt change analysis of fashion color

In order to explore the changing trend and abrupt change of fashion color, based on the spring and summer fashion color decision issued by China Textile Information Center from 2000 to 2019, the distribution law and mechanism of fashion color system were discussed by linear trend analysis, sliding average method and Mann-Kendall test. The results show that: 1) in the past 20 years, fashion colors of clothing have shown a non-periodic oscillation phenomenon, and there has been no obvious overall upward or downward trend in the change of hue data. On the whole, the color characteristics of spring and summer are mainly warm tones, supplemented by cold colors. 2) There are a lot of discontinuities and abrupt change phenomena in fashion color system, but the number of mutational sites in different color phases is significantly different. 3) Fashion color system does not change steadily. When internal and external factors meet certain conditions, abrupt color change will occur. This study provides theoretical support for understanding the abrupt change law of fashion color.