| 基于系统动力学的大学教员职称晋升预测模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 岳奎志,张利,史建国. 基于系统动力学的大学教员职称晋升预测模型[J]. 计算机与现代化, 2011, 0(10): 15-18,23 |
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| 作者姓名： | 岳奎志 张利 史建国 |
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| 作者单位： | 海军航空工程学院七系; |
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| 基金项目： | 中国博士后科学基金(20080431386) |
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| 摘 要： | 为预测大学教员职称趋势走向问题,基于系统动力学的老化链与协流理论,构建影响教员职称晋升的各元素存量流量图,建立带有四阶延迟的大学教员职称晋升预测模型,并以系统动力学软件Vensim PLE 5.9为平台进行建模仿真。运行结果表明,该模型能进行大学教员职称晋升趋势的预测,可为大学教员职业规划方案的制定提供理论依据与技术基础。
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| 关 键 词： | 教员 职称 晋升 系统动力学 模型 |
Promotion Prediction Model on Teachers Professional Title in University with System Dynamics |
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| YUE Kui-zhi,ZHANG Li,SHI Jian-guo. Promotion Prediction Model on Teachers Professional Title in University with System Dynamics[J]. Computer and Modernization, 2011, 0(10): 15-18,23 |
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| Authors: | YUE Kui-zhi ZHANG Li SHI Jian-guo |
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| Affiliation: | YUE Kui-zhi,ZHANG Li,SHI Jian-guo(No.7 Department,Naval Aeronautical and Astronautical University,Yantai 264001,China) |
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| Abstract: | The paper builds the stock and flow diagrams about every element of impacting teachers promotion on the basis of aging chains and auxiliary flow line theory,establishes the prediction model with 4-step delay for teachers promotion in university to predict the professional title trend for teachers in university,and simulates with system dynamics software Vensim PLE 5.9.The simulation result shows that the model can predict the professional title promotion trend for university teachers and provide theoretical... |
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| Keywords: | teachers professional title promotion system dynamics model |
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