原油长输管道油电损耗的回归预测

对于管道运输来说，影响输油成本变化的因素有很多，但是对总成本影响最大的是油电损耗费用。为了更深入地探索输油过程中输量对能量消耗的关系，以某输油管线多年来输量及油、电耗数据为观测值，用数理统计方法，假想了可能出现的几种待定模型，通过比较各模型的拟合优度，确定输量影响油、电消耗的最佳拟合方程和拟合曲线。

Regression Forecast of Oil/Power Consumption in Long Distance Oil Pipeline

There are a lot of factors affecting the oil transportation capital in oil pipelines, but the consumption of electricity and fuel oil in pipelines is the most important one. Taking the data of throughput rate and oil/power consumption for many years in an oil pipeline as observed values, by using mathematical statistic, a few possible model equations are supposed to make a more throughput rate study on the effect of throughput rate on energy consumption. After comparing the goodness of fit of each equation, optimum fitted equation and fitted curve affecting oil/power consumption are determined.