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The potential for greenhouse gases mitigation in household sector of Iran: cases of price reform/efficiency improvement and scenario for 2000–2010
Authors:Hamid Davoudpour  Mohammad Sadegh Ahadi
Affiliation:1. Department of Industrial Engineering, Amirkabir University of Technology, Hafez Ave, Tehran, I.R. Iran;2. National Climate Change Office, Department of Environment, Tehran, 5181-15875, I.R. Iran
Abstract:Iran's demographic profile is sharply youth oriented and this upcoming generation's needs for employment and housing, coupled with low-energy efficiency vectors and consumption patterns, has created a constant rise in energy demand and greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions in the residential sector. Improved energy efficiency as a national policy lynchpin for demand reduction and GHGs mitigation, has become commonplace. OPEC countries however, Iran included, suffer an obvious lack of consumer incentive because of low fuel prices. This study evaluates the twin impacts of price reform and efficiency programs on energy carriers’ consumption and GHGs mitigation in the Iranian housing sector. For this purpose, the demand functions for energy carriers, has been developed by econometrics process models.
Keywords:Demand forecasting   Pricing policy   Greenhouse gases mitigation   Energy efficiency
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