| 节日需求型卷烟预测模型研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 蔡萍萍,吴铮,王光武,何利力. 节日需求型卷烟预测模型研究[J]. 工业控制计算机, 2012, 25(9): 112-113 |
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| 作者姓名： | 蔡萍萍 吴铮 王光武 何利力 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 浙江中烟工业有限责任公司,浙江杭州,310009
2. 浙江理工大学信息学院,浙江杭州,310018 |
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| 摘 要： | 卷烟销量预测工作对我国的国民经济和烟草行业的发展有着重要的意义。为了加强对烟草行业的有效管理,了解卷烟销售市场动态,对卷烟销量进行科学的预测是很有必要的。节日需求型卷烟销售是卷烟销售中的重要组成部分,鉴于此,采用灰色预测法分析建立预测模型对节日需求型卷烟进行销量预测,并以实际数据为例验证预测模型的有效性和适用性。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测法 预测模型 节日需求型卷烟 需求预测 |
Study of Festival Cigarette Demand Forecast Model |
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| Affiliation: | Cai Pingping et al |
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| Abstract: | in order to enhance the effective management of the tobacco industry and grasp market dynamics,scientific prediction on sales of cigarettes is necessary.Sale of the festival demand cigarettes is an important part.In view of this,this paper utilizes the gray prediction method to establish the demand predicting model which was used to predict sales of festival demand cigarettes.Finally the actual data is used to verify the validity and applicability of the predictive models. |
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| Keywords: | grey-forecasting method prediction model demand for festival cigarette demand forecast |
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