基于层次分析法的云南省小康水利现状评估

云南省开展小康水利规划研究,力争在2020年实现小康社会下的小康水利。为确保这一目标的顺利实现,基于层次分析法提出了由防洪抗旱减灾、水资源合理配置、水资源高效利用、水源地保护与河湖健康保障、水管理、水利发展保障6大体系26项指标组成的云南省小康水利评价指标体系。通过层次分析法计算各项指标权重,并利用构建的小康水利指标体系对云南省2011年水利发展现状进行评价。云南省小康水利现状水平为71分,距离实现小康水利还有一定差距。水管理能力得分仅为40.8分,为主要制约因素,这与云南省水利发展现状基本相符,现状评估结果可为云南省小康水利建设规划提供依据。

Assessing the Status of Well-off Water Conservancy Planning in Yunnan Province Using AHP Method

To achieve the well-off water conservancy in a well-off society before 2020, the well-off water conservan-cy planning is undergoing in Yunnan Province. In this research, an assessment index system consisting 26 indexes in aspects of flood control and drought relief,reasonable allocation of water resources, effective water utilization, water source protection and river health, water management and water development is proposed based on the method of analytic hierarchy process ( AHP ) . The index weights are calculated by AHP method, and the index system is used to evaluate the status quo of water conservancy development in Yunnan province in 2011. Results reveal that the score of well-off water conservancy in Yunnan province at present is 71, and there is still some way to go;whereas the score of water management ability is only 40.8, which is the main restrictive factor, consistent with the actual condition of water development in Yunnan. The results could be used as the basis for the well-off water con-servancy planning in Yunnan Province.