计及可用输电能力的含大规模风电的输电系统规划

大容量风力发电基地的快速发展给电力系统安全与经济运行带来了新的问题，对输电系统进行规划时，既要考虑具备足够的可用输电能力（available transfer capability, ATC）以容纳大规模风电并网, 又要避免输电容量过分冗余造成投资浪费。在此背景下, 针对含有大容量风力发电的电力系统, 提出了一种计及ATC的输电系统规划随机优化模型, 主要内容包括:（1）在考虑风速和负荷等随机变量之间相关性以及线路和发电机故障概率的基础上, 构造了ATC概率模型；（2）采用拉丁超立方采样和灵敏度分析相结合的方法求解ATC概率模型；（3）构建以输电线路投资成本最小和ATC期望值最大为目标的优化模型, 将输电系统规划的经济性和运行风险进行有机结合。采用遗传算法求解所建立的输电系统规划优化模型, 并用18节点和46节点算例系统说明所发展模型和方法的基本特征。

Transmission System Planning in Power Systems with Wind Generators Considering Available Transfer Capability

The rapid development of large-scale wind farms results in some new problems for the secure and economic operation of the power system associated. In making transmission system planning, sufficient available transfer capability （ATC） is required so as to accommodate large-scale wind farms, while excessive transmission capacity must be avoided so as to save investment. Given this background, a stochastic optimization model for transmission system planning is presented for a power system with the integration of large-scale wind farms with the following contributions: 1） a probabilistic ATC model is developed with the correlations among random input variables such as wind speed and loads as well as the outage probabilities of generators and transmission lines taken into account；2） a method is employed to solve the probabilistic ATC model by the combined use of the Latin hypercube sampling based Monte Carlo simulation and sensitivity analysis；3） a bi-objective transmission system planning model is presented with transmission investment cost minimized and the expected value of ATC maximized, subject to the acceptable overload probability constraints, and in this way the economics and operation risks associated with a transmission planning scheme could be compromised. Finally, the developed transmission system planning model is solved by the well-established genetic algorithm, and demonstrated by a 18-bus and a 46-bus sample power systems.