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基于改进模糊回归分析法的负荷预测
引用本文:冯虓. 基于改进模糊回归分析法的负荷预测[J]. 黑龙江电力, 2010, 32(4): 258-261
作者姓名:冯虓
作者单位:东北电力大学电气工程学院,吉林吉林,132012
摘    要:对电力系统的负荷预测问题进行了研究,并提出了一种改进后的模糊回归分析算法。该方法利用模糊预测法和回归分析法各自的优点,按不同情况下两种方法的重要程度,用区间层次分析法赋以灵活可调的权重值。通过算例验证,此方法适合于中长期电力系统负荷预测。

关 键 词:电力系统  负荷预测  心归分析  模糊预测  区间层次分析

Load forecasting based on improved fuzzy regression analysis
FENG Xiao. Load forecasting based on improved fuzzy regression analysis[J]. Heilongjiang Electric Power, 2010, 32(4): 258-261
Authors:FENG Xiao
Affiliation:FENG Xiao(Northeast Dianli University,Jilin 132012,China)
Abstract:This paper studies the problems arising from load forecasting in electric power system and put forwards an improved fuzzy regression analysis which combines the advantages of both fuzzy forecasting and regression analysis and evaluates flexible and adjustable weight value by analytic hierarchy process according to the significance of the two methods under different circumstances.
Keywords:electric power system  load forecasting  regression analysis  fuzzy forecasting  analytic hierarchy process
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