| 基于电力不足概率的互联系统备用量需求研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 张夏平,宋依群.基于电力不足概率的互联系统备用量需求研究[J].广东电力,2010,23(3):18-21. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张夏平 宋依群 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 广东省电力设计研究院,广东,广州,510663
2. 上海交通大学电气工程系,上海,200240 |
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| 摘 要： | 基于传统的发电系统停运模型，考虑系统负荷水平、联络线容量、联络线强迫停运率等因素，提出采用二维概率阵列法计算电力不足概率（loss of load probability，LOLP）并推导互联系统的备用需求模型。采用IEEE30节点进行仿真计算。验证备用需求模型确定互联系统备用容量方法的可行性。
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| 关 键 词： | 电力不足概率 互联系统 备用需求 可靠性 |
Research on Reserve Requirement of Interconnected System Based on Loss of Load Probability |
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| ZHANG Xia-ping,SONG Yi-qun.Research on Reserve Requirement of Interconnected System Based on Loss of Load Probability[J].Guangdong Electric Power,2010,23(3):18-21. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xia-ping SONG Yi-qun |
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| Affiliation: | 1. Guangdong Electric Power Design Inst. , Guangzhou, Guangdong 510663, China; 2. Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Shanghai Jiao Tong Univ. , Shanghai 200240, China) |
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| Abstract: | Reserve requirement model of interconnected system based on the traditional power system outage model is developed, considering the system load level, tie-line capacity, tie-line forced outage rate, etc. Two-dimensional array method is used to calculate the loss of load probability （LOLP）. IEEE 30 node simulation example demonstrates the feasibility of using reserve requirement model to determine reserve capacity of interconnected system. |
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| Keywords: | loss of load probability（LOLP） interconnected system reserve requirement reliability |
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