| 常规潜艇总体任务可靠性的建模与仿真 |
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| 引用本文： | 姚路,巩军,郑欣. 常规潜艇总体任务可靠性的建模与仿真[J]. 兵工自动化, 2009, 28(7): 39-41,57. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-1576.2009.07.014 |
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| 作者姓名： | 姚路 巩军 郑欣 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 海军工程大学,管理工程系,湖北,武汉,430033
2. 中国人民解放军91458部队,装备部,海南,三亚,572021 |
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| 摘 要： | 针对当前常规潜艇总体任务可靠性建模和计算中存在的问题,以鱼雷攻击任务为例,通过任务剖面和任务与系统关系分析,建立常规潜艇总体任务可靠性双层模型,并根据多阶段任务系统理论和蒙特卡罗方法进行任务可靠性仿真,得到常规潜艇总体任务可靠度.为常规潜艇及其它大型复杂武器系统总体任务可靠性的预计、分配和评估提供一种新方法.
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| 关 键 词： | 总体任务可靠性 多阶段任务系统 马尔可夫模型 蒙特卡罗仿真 常规潜艇 |
Modeling and Simulation on General Mission Reliabilities of Normal Submarines |
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| YAO Lu,GONG Jun,ZHENG Xin. Modeling and Simulation on General Mission Reliabilities of Normal Submarines[J]. Ordnance Industry Automation, 2009, 28(7): 39-41,57. DOI: 10.3969/j.issn.1006-1576.2009.07.014 |
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| Authors: | YAO Lu GONG Jun ZHENG Xin |
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| Affiliation: | YAO Lu1,GONG Jun1,ZHENG Xin2(1.Dept.of Management Engineering,Navy University of Engineering,Wuhan 430033,China,2.Dept.of Equipment,No.91458 Unit of PLA,Sanya 572021,China) |
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| Abstract: | Aiming at problems in modeling and calculation of general mission reliabilities of present normal submarine,taking torpedo attack missions as an example,and through analysis of relations between mission section and connections between mission and systems,establish a two-layer model for general mission reliabilities of normal submarine.Then,based on multistage mission system theory and Monte Carlo method,carry out mission reliability simulation,thus obtain total mission reliability of normal submarines.It pr... |
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| Keywords: | General mission reliability Multistage mission system Markov model Monte Carlo simulation Normal submarine |
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