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基于最小二乘法的逻辑回归模型在土石坝 沉降预测中的应用
引用本文:蓝善勇,方崇.基于最小二乘法的逻辑回归模型在土石坝 沉降预测中的应用[J].水利水电技术,2012,43(3):16-18.
作者姓名:蓝善勇  方崇
作者单位:(广西水利电力职业技术学院,广西南宁530023 )
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目,广西壮族自治区水利科研项目
摘    要:针对传统回归模型的不足,提出了采用逻样回归曲线建立土石坝沉降预测模型,由最小二乘 法确定模型参数。该模型用于了南湾水库大坝的沉降量预测。研究表明,该方法的拟合误差较传统模 型小,可取得较好的预测效果。

关 键 词:最小二乘法  逻样回归模型  土石坝  沉降预测  南湾水库大坝  

Application of least square method based logistic regression model to settlement prediction of earth-rock fill dam
LAN Shanyong , FANG Chong.Application of least square method based logistic regression model to settlement prediction of earth-rock fill dam[J].Water Resources and Hydropower Engineering,2012,43(3):16-18.
Authors:LAN Shanyong  FANG Chong
Affiliation:(Guangxi Technology College of Water Conservancy and Electric Power, Nanning 530023,Guangxi, China)
Abstract:In accordance with the shortage of the conventional regression model,it is proposed herein that establishing the settlement prediction model of earth-rock fill dam with logistic regression,for which the parameters of the model are determined with the method of least square.The model is applied to the settlement prediction of the dam for Nanwan Reservoir.The study shows that the fitting error of this method is smaller than that from the conventional one,and then better prediction effect can be obtained as well.
Keywords:least square method  logistic regression model  earth-rock ill dam  settlement prediction  dam of Nanwan Reservoir
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