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巷道和边坡的稳定位移与突发失稳时间预测
引用本文:张军胜,薛烨,陶纪南. 巷道和边坡的稳定位移与突发失稳时间预测[J]. 岩土工程学报, 1996, 18(1): 39-45
作者姓名:张军胜  薛烨  陶纪南
作者单位:陕西东桐峪金矿;西安建筑科技大学;
摘    要:本文从位移时序曲线的特征出发,提出并验证了用加速度作为状态识别判据的可行性。对于稳定的情况,讨论了用灰色系统GM(1,1)模型预测最终收敛位移;对于失稳的情况,建立了用割线角估算失稳时间的一般公式。

关 键 词:灰色系统  稳定位移预测  突发失稳时间预报  

Prediction of Stable Displacement and Unstable Time on Tunnel and Slope
Zhang Junsheng,Xue Ye,Tao Jinan. Prediction of Stable Displacement and Unstable Time on Tunnel and Slope[J]. Chinese Journal of Geotechnical Engineering, 1996, 18(1): 39-45
Authors:Zhang Junsheng  Xue Ye  Tao Jinan
Affiliation:Golden Mine of Dengtongyu Tongguan Xi' an University of Architecture Technology
Abstract:In this paper, according to features displacement-time curves the possibility to use acceleration as a factor of state identification is suggested and testified. In the stable cases, the prediction of the ultimate convergence displacements by means of GM(1, 1 ) model of grey system is discussed.In the unstable circumstances,the general formula of calculating unstable time with tangent angle is established.
Keywords:grey system  prediction of stable displacement  forecast of unstable time.  
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