草原可持续发展三重能力的变权综合评价:以中国四大草原为例

基于可持续发展理论与草原特点建立“三重能力”的矩阵式评价指标体系，并运用“三重能力”的变权综合评价方法对我国的伊犁草原、锡林郭勒草原、那曲高寒草原、祁连山草原的可持续发展能力进行评价。结果表明，伊犁草原可持续发展能力最强，其次是那曲高寒草原，可持续发展能力最弱的是祁连山草原。只有在经济能力、资源生态能力及管理能力等三重能力互惠共生和协调发展的情况下，草原才具有较强的可持续发展能力，其中任何一个能力的不协调发展都会影响草原的可持续发展能力。最后，提出制定和完善草原可持续发展能力政策，有针对性地建设草原的可持续发展能力，提升草原管理能力等建议。

A CASE STUDY ON CHINA`S FOUR PRAIRIES: VARIABLE WEIGHT COMPREHENSIVE EVALUATION OF TRIPLE CAPACITIES OF PRAIRIE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT

This paper, based on sustainable development theory and prairie features, sets up a matrix evaluation index system of triple capacities, and uses its variable weights to comprehensively evaluate the sustainability in Chinas Yili, Xilingol, Naqu and Qilianshan prairies. The results show the strongest sustainability in Yili, followed by Naqu, the weakest in Qilianshan. Prairie can acquire sustainability only with a coordinated relation of economy, resources and management. This paper presents approaches to prairies sustainable development from policy optimization and management.