| 城市总体规划中人口规模预测方法探讨 --以博乐市总体规划为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 周婕,罗巧灵,魏伟. 城市总体规划中人口规模预测方法探讨 --以博乐市总体规划为例[J]. 规划师, 2005, 21(7): 90-94 |
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| 作者姓名： | 周婕 罗巧灵 魏伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉大学;武汉大学;武汉大学 |
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| 摘 要： | 利用人均GDP与城市化率之间的高度相关性，探讨城市人口规模预测的方法，具体过程是：现状分析、GDP总量预测、市域人口规模预测、城市化率预测、市区人口规模预测，以获得与经济发展相适应的城市人口规模。
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| 关 键 词： | 总体规划 人口规模 人均GDP 城市化率 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-0022(2005)07-0090-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-10-26 |
Discussion on the Method of Population Forecast in City Master Plan--With the Master Plan of Bole as an Example |
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| Zhou Jie,Luo Qiaoling,Wei Wei. Discussion on the Method of Population Forecast in City Master Plan--With the Master Plan of Bole as an Example[J]. Planners, 2005, 21(7): 90-94 |
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| Authors: | Zhou Jie Luo Qiaoling Wei Wei |
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| Abstract: | The paper utilizes the correlation betweenthe per capita GDP and urbanization rate in its dis-cussion on the method of forecast of urban popula-tion size whose process is detailed as follows:through status analysis,forecast of total GDP,fore-cast of the size of urban population and forecast ofthe rate of urbanization it is possible to forecast theurban population size adaptable to the economicdevelopment. |
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| Keywords: | Master plan Population size Per capita GDP Urbanization rate |
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