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2013年中国钢管市场需求预测与分析
引用本文:彭在美.2013年中国钢管市场需求预测与分析[J].焊管,2013,36(6):12-16.
作者姓名:彭在美
作者单位:(张家港沙钢金洲管道有限公司,江苏 张家港 215625)
摘    要:概述了2013年世界及中国宏观经济形势,预测世界经济增长3.6%,中国GDP增长8%,中国钢材消费量增长4%,由此判断中国钢管消费量增长3%,钢管出口增长4%,据此推算,2013年中国钢管市场需求约为7 800×104 t,其中无缝管为2 900×104 t,焊管为4 900×104 t;钢管出口为920×104 t,其中无缝管为540×104 t,焊管为380×104 t。分析了14个主要钢管应用行业2013年的市场需求情况,并对中国钢管行业如何适应市场需求进行了阐述。

关 键 词:钢管  市场需求预测  产能过剩  同质化扩散  降本增效  技术创新

Market Demand Forecast and Analysis on China Steel Pipe in 2013
PENG Zaimei.Market Demand Forecast and Analysis on China Steel Pipe in 2013[J].Welded Pipe and Tube,2013,36(6):12-16.
Authors:PENG Zaimei
Affiliation:(Zhangjiagang Shasteel and Kingland Pipeline Co., Ltd., Zhangjiagang 215625, Jiangsu, China)
Abstract:In this article, it summarized macro-economic situation of the world and China in 2013, and forecasted the growth of world economic will be increased by 3.6%, the China GDP will be enhanced by 8%, the growth of steel consumption will be increased by 4%. Based on this, it predicted the growth rate of China steel pipe is 3%, the foreign trade growth rate of steel pipe is 4%. In view of the above, it forecasted that the market demand of China steel pipe is 7 800×104 t, including 2 900×104 t seamless steel pipe, 4 900×104 t welded pipe; the total exported amounts is 920×104 t, including 540×104 t seamless steel pipe, 380×104 t welded pipe. It also analyzed the market demand situations of 14 industries of steel pipe application in 2013, and expatiated China steel pipe industry how to adapt to market demand.
Keywords:steel pipe  market demand forecast  excessive production capactiy  homogenization diffusion  lower cost to increase efficiency  technology innovation
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