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基于贝叶斯方法的饮用水水质预测及可视化研究
引用本文:扈震,杨之江,齐培培. 基于贝叶斯方法的饮用水水质预测及可视化研究[J]. 中国给水排水, 2012, 28(5): 53-56,60
作者姓名:扈震  杨之江  齐培培
作者单位:1. 中国地质大学〈武汉〉信息工程学院,湖北 武汉,430074
2. 武汉中地数码科技有限公司,湖北 武汉,430074
基金项目:国家水体污染控制与治理科技重大专项
摘    要:在研究基于时间序列的贝叶斯水质指标预测方法的基础上,建立了基于贝叶斯方法的水质等级预测模型,同时利用济南市第二中学的样本数据对该方法与模型进行了有效性验证;在此基础上,对山东省黄河流域周围的8个主要大型水库进行了水质等级实例预测及可视化展示,为城市水质监管部门避免或减少饮用水污染提供了清晰直观、科学有效的技术途径。

关 键 词:贝叶斯  饮用水水质  等级预测  可视化

Drinking Water Quality Prediction and Visualization Based on Bayesian Method
HU Zhen , YANG Zhi-jiang , QI Pei-pei. Drinking Water Quality Prediction and Visualization Based on Bayesian Method[J]. China Water & Wastewater, 2012, 28(5): 53-56,60
Authors:HU Zhen    YANG Zhi-jiang    QI Pei-pei
Affiliation:1.Faculty of Information Engineering,China University of Geosciences ,Wuhan 430074,China;2.Wuhan Zhongdi Digital Technology Co.Ltd.,Wuhan 430074,China)
Abstract:The Bayesian water index prediction method based on time series was studied,and the water quality degree prediction model based on Bayesian method was established.The effectiveness of the method and model was verified by using sample data of drinking water at the Jinan No.2 Middle School.On this basis,water quality prediction and visualization at eight major large-scale reservoirs around the Yellow River in Shandong Province were undertaken.The analysis provides a clear,intuitive,scientific and effective technical way in assessing drinking water contamination for the water quality supervision authorities.
Keywords:Bayesian  drinking water quality  degree prediction  visualization
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