| 马尔柯夫理论在道路评价与管理中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 张新天.马尔柯夫理论在道路评价与管理中的应用[J].北京建筑工程学院学报,1994,10(1):66-71. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张新天 |
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| 作者单位： | 北京建筑工程学院土木二系 |
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| 摘 要： | 马尔柯夫理论提出了一个概率型的预测模型.本文即应用马尔柯夫理论的基本思想,分析道路使用性能随时间和车载作用而随机变化的规律.通过建立合理的预测模型,提出道路评价与管理的基本工作程序与方法.
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| 关 键 词： | 使用性能 转移概率 |
Application of Markov Theory in Highway Evaluation and Management |
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| Zhang Xintian.Application of Markov Theory in Highway Evaluation and Management[J].Journal of Beijing Institute of Civil Engineering and Architecture,1994,10(1):66-71. |
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| Authors: | Zhang Xintian |
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| Affiliation: | Zhang Xintian |
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| Abstract: | Markov theory provides a probability-type prediction method. In this paper, the basic thought of Markov theory are applied, and then the paper analyses the law of highway use performance changes at random with the lapse of time and the action of vehile load. By means of setting up a rational prediction model, the paper advances the basic work process and method for highway evaluation and management. |
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| Keywords: | use performance transfer probability |
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