| 深圳电网自动运行的短期负荷预测系统 |
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| 引用本文： | 胡子珩,陈晓平,刘顺桂,莫维仁,张伯明,孙宏斌.深圳电网自动运行的短期负荷预测系统[J].电网技术,2003,27(5):21-25. |
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| 作者姓名： | 胡子珩 陈晓平 刘顺桂 莫维仁 张伯明 孙宏斌 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 深圳供电局,广东省,深圳市,518001
2. 清华大学电机系,北京,100084 |
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| 摘 要： | 概述了深圳电网自动运行的短期负荷预测系统的结构及其实现方案。该系统采用闭环运行机制，实现“无人值守”负荷预测模式，以适应电力市场发展的需要。详细描述了实现该系统的要点和难点，并给出了解决方案，提出了坏数据辨识、气象累积效应、自组织算法等概念和方法，在应用实例基础上对系统运行情况进行了总结。
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| 关 键 词： | 短期负荷预测系统 电力系统 电网 深圳市 自动运行 电力市场 电力工业 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-3673(2003)05-0021-05 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年5月8日 |
AN AUTO-OPERATING SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR SHENZHEN POWER NETWORK |
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| HU Zi-heng,CHEN Xiao-ping,LIU Shun-gui,MO Wei-ren,ZHANG Bo-ming,SUN Hong-bin.AN AUTO-OPERATING SHORT-TERM LOAD FORECASTING SYSTEM FOR SHENZHEN POWER NETWORK[J].Power System Technology,2003,27(5):21-25. |
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| Authors: | HU Zi-heng CHEN Xiao-ping LIU Shun-gui MO Wei-ren ZHANG Bo-ming SUN Hong-bin |
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| Affiliation: | HU Zi-heng1,CHEN Xiao-ping1,LIU Shun-gui1,MO Wei-ren2,ZHANG Bo-ming2,SUN Hong-bin2 |
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| Abstract: | The architecture and implementation of an auto-operating short-term load forecasting system for Shenzhen power network is resumed. To realize the unattended load forecasting mode and to meet the need of electricity market, the closed loop operation mechanism is applied in this system. The essentials and the difficult points in the implementation of this system are described in detail and the corresponding solutions are given. The concepts and methods of bad load data identification, weather-cumulative effect and self-organization algorithm are put forward. On the basis of application examples the operation situation of the presented system is summarized. |
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| Keywords: | Electricity market Short-term load fore-casting Closed loop operation |
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