Demand–Supply Balancing Capability Analysis for a Future Power System

Under the anticipated high penetration of variable renewable energy generation such as photovoltaics and higher share of nuclear generation, the issue of supply–demand balancing capability should be evaluated and fixed in a future power system. Improvement of existing balancing measures and new technologies such as demand activation and energy storage are expected to solve the issue. In this situation, a long‐range power system supply–demand analysis should have the capability to evaluate the balancing capability and balancing countermeasures. This paper presents a new analysis methodology of activated demand model and evaluation of supply–demand balancing capability for a long‐range power system demand–supply analysis model, ESPRIT. Model analysis was made to verify the new methodology of the tool including day‐ahead scheduling of a heat pump water heater, an EV/PHEV, and a battery. © 2013 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Electr Eng Jpn, 186(2): 21–30, 2014; Published online in Wiley Online Library ( wileyonlinelibrary.com ). DOI 10.1002/eej.22488