| 基于ISM和BN的危险品仓储系统安全风险评估 |
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| 引用本文： | 卢建锋,王彪. 基于ISM和BN的危险品仓储系统安全风险评估[J]. 消防科学与技术, 2021, 40(12): 1770-1774 |
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| 作者姓名： | 卢建锋 王彪 |
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| 作者单位： | （1.南昌工程学院 工商管理学院,江西 南昌 310029;2.江西交通职业技术学院,江西 南昌 330000) |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金青年科学基金项目（61803091） |
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| 摘 要： | 为预防危险品仓储事故,有必要对危险品仓储系统做安全风险评估.为降低危险品仓储系统安全风险评估的随机性和不确定性,将解释结构模型(ISM)和贝叶斯网络(BN)方法用于安全风险定量评估.基于扎根理论进行危险品仓储系统安全风险因素识别,在此基础上得到危险品仓储系统安全风险因素体系.基于ISM模型建立危险品仓储系统安全风险贝叶...
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| 关 键 词： | 危险品仓储 安全风险 风险定量评估 扎根理论 ISM 贝叶斯网络 |
Safety risk assessment of dangerous goods storage system based on ISM and Bayesian network |
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| LU Jian-feng,WANG Biao. Safety risk assessment of dangerous goods storage system based on ISM and Bayesian network[J]. Fire Science and Technology, 2021, 40(12): 1770-1774 |
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| Authors: | LU Jian-feng WANG Biao |
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| Affiliation: | (1.College of Business Administration, Nanchang Institute of Technology, Jiangxi Nanchang 310029, China; 2.Jiangxi Vocational and Technical College of Communications, Jiangxi Nanchang 330000, China) |
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| Abstract: | In order to prevent dangerous goods storage accidents, it is necessary to evaluate the safety risk of dangerous goods storage system. In order to reduce the randomness and uncertainty of safety risk assessment of dangerous goods storage system, ISM model and Bayesian network (BN) method were used for quantitative safety risk assessment.Based on grounded theory, the safety risk factors of dangerous goods storage system are identified, and the safety risk factors system of dangerous goods storage system is obtained.Based on ISM model, the Bayesian network model of dangerous goods storage system security risk was established. Using fuzzy set theory, the safety risk assessment model of dangerous goods storage system was constructed. The case application of the safety risk assessment model of dangerous goods storage system proves that the model was reasonable and effective. |
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| Keywords: | dangerous goods storage safety risk quantitative risk assessment grounded theory ISM Bayesian network |
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